CHICAGO — Falling mortgage rates gave prospective buyers more confidence to act in August, driving up contract signings nationwide and signaling potential strength in the housing market this fall.
The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) Pending Home Sales Index, which tracks signed contracts as a forward-looking measure of home sales, increased 4% in August from July and was 3.8% higher than a year earlier.
NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun attributed the momentum to easing borrowing costs, with mortgage rates recently dipping below 6.5%.
“Lower mortgage rates are enabling more home buyers to go under contract,” Yun said. “In the Midwest, low mortgage rates combined with higher levels of affordability are attracting more buyers compared to other regions.”
The Midwest outperformed all other U.S. regions in August, supported by home prices that remain 22% below the national median. The median price in the region stood at $330,500 in August.
Pending home sales in the Midwest surged 8.7% from July and were up 6.7% year-over-year, making it the strongest-performing region for both pending and existing-home sales.
Northeast: Down 1.1% from July but up 2.6% annually
Midwest: Up 8.7% monthly and 6.7% annually
South: Up 3.1% monthly and 4.2% annually
West: Up 5% monthly and 0.2% annually
The broader housing market has faced headwinds in recent years from elevated rates and tight inventory. Existing-home sales dipped 0.2% in August compared to July. Still, Yun remains optimistic.
“Home sales have been sluggish over the past few years due to elevated mortgage rates and limited inventory,” he said. “However, mortgage rates are declining, and more inventory is coming to the market, which should boost sales in the coming months.”
Another encouraging sign: mortgage applications for home purchases are up 18% from last year, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. At the same time, mortgage rates have fallen from near-7% highs earlier in 2025, averaging 6.30% as of Sept. 25, based on Freddie Mac’s Mortgage Market Index.